Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 2.018443e-05 0.000024 0.000029 0.000034 0.000040 0.000046 0.000054
2025-10-05 1.536668e-05 0.000021 0.000027 0.000034 0.000043 0.000053 0.000066
2025-10-12 1.192799e-05 0.000018 0.000025 0.000034 0.000045 0.000058 0.000075
2025-10-19 9.679664e-06 0.000016 0.000023 0.000034 0.000047 0.000064 0.000085
2025-10-26 8.572779e-06 0.000015 0.000023 0.000035 0.000052 0.000072 0.000098
2025-11-02 7.101496e-06 0.000013 0.000022 0.000035 0.000053 0.000076 0.000107
2025-11-09 5.465075e-06 0.000011 0.000020 0.000034 0.000053 0.000077 0.000112
2025-11-16 4.323858e-06 0.000010 0.000019 0.000032 0.000053 0.000080 0.000117
2025-11-23 3.589323e-06 0.000009 0.000018 0.000032 0.000054 0.000083 0.000125
2025-11-30 2.950711e-06 0.000008 0.000017 0.000032 0.000055 0.000087 0.000132
2025-12-07 2.299002e-06 0.000007 0.000016 0.000031 0.000054 0.000088 0.000137
2025-12-14 1.717510e-06 0.000006 0.000014 0.000029 0.000053 0.000088 0.000140
2025-12-21 1.193874e-06 0.000005 0.000013 0.000028 0.000053 0.000091 0.000147
2025-12-28 9.073837e-07 0.000004 0.000012 0.000028 0.000055 0.000096 0.000158
2026-01-04 6.481276e-07 0.000004 0.000011 0.000028 0.000056 0.000100 0.000168
2026-01-11 4.786022e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000028 0.000058 0.000105 0.000179
2026-01-18 4.125971e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000029 0.000062 0.000114 0.000196
2026-01-25 2.940543e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000029 0.000064 0.000119 0.000207
2026-02-01 1.669986e-07 0.000002 0.000010 0.000027 0.000062 0.000119 0.000212
2026-02-08 9.556044e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000027 0.000062 0.000121 0.000218
2026-02-15 5.909057e-08 0.000002 0.000008 0.000026 0.000063 0.000125 0.000229
2026-02-22 3.330546e-08 0.000001 0.000008 0.000026 0.000064 0.000129 0.000238
2026-03-01 1.393827e-08 0.000001 0.000007 0.000025 0.000064 0.000131 0.000244